Bill Gates explique pourquoi il associe Bitcoin à l’évasion fiscale et aux activités illégales

Bill Gates, cofondateur du milliardaire Microsoft, a déclaré qu’il ne détenait pas Bitcoin et qu’il n’était pas à court de Bitcoin. Au lieu de cela, Gates affirme qu’il occupe une position neutre en ce qui concerne la principale crypto-monnaie.

Cependant, ses commentaires complémentaires contredisent sa déclaration liminaire. Bien qu’il soit tout à fait pour la numérisation de l’argent, il pense que Bitcoin encourage l’évasion fiscale et les activités illégales. Au lieu de cela, Gates préfère l’approche de la monnaie numérique de la banque centrale à la monnaie numérique, avec des transactions réversibles et une association d’identité directe.

«Je ne possède pas de Bitcoin. Je ne suis pas à court de Bitcoin. J’ai donc adopté un point de vue neutre. Je pense que transférer de l’argent sous une forme plus numérique et réduire les coûts de transaction, c’est ce que fait la Fondation Gates dans les pays en développement.

Mais là, nous le faisons pour que vous puissiez annuler la transaction, vous avez une visibilité totale sur qui fait quoi, donc il ne s’agit pas d’évasion fiscale ou d’activité illégale. »

Gates pivote vers le travail caritatif

Pionnier de pointe ou chapardeur industriel? Quel que soit votre côté, vous ne pourrez toujours pas vous éloigner de l’impact de Gates sur l’ère numérique.

Depuis qu’il a quitté son poste d’architecte logiciel en chef de Microsoft en 2000, Gates s’est de plus en plus concentré sur le travail caritatif via la Fondation Gates.

En 2020, il a décidé de consacrer plus de temps à cette cause et de rompre les liens avec Microsoft en démissionnant de son conseil d’administration. Cependant, il a mentionné qu’il était toujours disponible à titre de consultation.

«Consacrer plus de temps aux priorités philanthropiques, y compris la santé et le développement mondiaux, l’éducation et mon engagement croissant dans la lutte contre le changement climatique.»

La communauté Bitcoin fait écho aux commentaires de Gates

Tout au long de cette transition, Gates est devenu moins connu en tant qu’innovateur technologique et davantage en tant que philanthrope. Le taureau Bitcoin Anthony Pompliano a laissé entendre que cela avait émoussé sa compréhension de la technologie disruptive.

«Il est fou d’entendre l’un des hommes les plus intelligents du monde sonner si mal informé et sans instruction sur l’un des éléments technologiques les plus perturbateurs.

De même, le PDG de Binance, Changpeng Zhao, a tenté de faire passer les commentaires mal informés de Gates en affirmant qu’il avait mérité le droit de ne plus être «à la fine pointe».

«Il est cependant à un stade différent de sa vie. Il n’est pas à la fine pointe, en tête, en poussée, etc. Il n’est pas obligé de le faire. »

Chef de file en matière de croissance à la bourse de Kraken Dan Held a déclaré que les commentaires de Gates sur les frais élevés et la consommation d’énergie excessive étaient valables. Mais dans l’ensemble, Held pense que Gates n’a pas pris le temps de comprendre Bitcoin.

En tant qu’ancien membre du conseil d’administration de Berkshire Hathaway et ami proche de Warren Buffett, la position de Gates sur Bitcoin ne devrait surprendre personne.

Ether flyver til månen? Her er hvad der brænder ETH-raketten

DeFi, institutioner og Eth2: Hvad er alle faktorer, der fremmer Ethers nuværende rally til dets højeste tider?

Ether nåede sit højeste niveau igen den 2. februar og nåede det psykologiske mærke på $ 1.500

Siden da har prisen holdt sig over dette niveau og ligger i øjeblikket på omkring $ 1.700. Sammen med Bitcoin Future og andre kryptovalutaer har Ether ( ETH ) oplevet enestående prishandling siden starten af ​​2021 efter at have steget med 10,46% på en måned.

Mens Bitcoin også har set en positiv prishandling, er den genert af sin tidligere heltidsværdi på $ 41.941, der blev nået den 8. januar. Ethervolumener har været stigende. Ifølge udbyderen af ​​markedsdata CryptoCompare nåede spotvoluminer deres højeste niveau den 11. januar, hvor volumen for måneden steg med 320% fra december 2020.

Udover stigende mængder viser data fra analysefirmaet CryptoQuant, at mængden af ​​Ether, der holdes på centraliserede børser, er faldet til nye nedture, hvilket signalerer øget købstryk for ETH.

Udgangen af ​​valutakurser er også steget, hvilket viser, at købere er interesserede i at have aktivet i stedet for at sælge. Ki Young Ju, administrerende direktør for kryptodataanalysefirma CryptoQuant, fortalte Cointelegraph: „Da ETH-reserver på alle børser fortsætter med at falde, tror jeg, at tyren fortsætter, indtil den holder op med at falde.“

Derivatdata viser også et bullish udsigter for Ether, som ifølge dataanalyseplatform Laevitas var 80% af optionsmængden på Deribit domineret af opkald (købsordrer) den 2. februar, da ETH nåede sit højeste niveau på omkring $ 1.500 – a bullish tegn.

Ifølge Ben Zhou, administrerende direktør for Bybit exchange, indhenter Ether Bitcoin med hensyn til efterspørgsel og handelsvolumen. Han fortalte Cointelegraph: „I de sidste par dage er mængderne af vores par ETH / USD og ETH / USDT ikke alt for langt væk fra deres BTC-kolleger.“

Institutionelt engagement

Ether har klaret sig godt både i detail- og institutionelle verdener, hvor efterspørgslen efter Ether steg hurtigt . Mens Grayscale, verdens største kryptovaluta-kapitalforvalter, tidligere lukkede flere altcoin-trust, herunder Ethereum Trust, genoptog investeringerne i begyndelsen af ​​januar, og den har i øjeblikket ETH i værdi på 4,25 milliarder dollars under ledelse i skrivende stund, en stigning på over 240% i de sidste tre måneder. Jonathan Hobbs, forfatteren af The Crypto Portfolio og en tidligere digital asset fund manager, fortalte Cointelegraph:

”Vi har set en generel rotation på kryptomarkedet til altcoins, mens Bitcoin har været inden for en rækkevidde. Ethereum er en proxy for altcoin-markedet, som institutioner kan få adgang til gennem Grayscales tillid. Med en markedsværdi på næsten 200 milliarder dollars er Ethereum stor nok til, at institutioner kan begynde at tage alvorligt. ”

Trader pays $ 3,000 fee to sell 0.22 Bitcoin (BTC) that he received as payment

Excessive fee charged to the user is a result of using Blockchain.com’s API, which creates a new address for each payment in Bitcoin.

A Brazilian merchant who accepts Bitcoin (BTC) as a form of payment was surprised by a fee of almost R$ 3 thousand, which was charged to withdraw the balance he had in cryptomoedas at Blockchain.com.

In total, the owner of the e-commerce business paid US$ 544.39 of fee, to transfer 0.22298819 BTC, or yet, R$ 2.881,51, considering the quotation of the American dollar this Friday (15).

Bitcoin brokers in Brazil charge up to R$ 23.90 of clients in fees for cash withdrawals on the platform

According to a posting in a Facebook group about the case, the user uses an API from Blockchain.com to receive the payments. However, for each transaction, the API creates a new address for the merchant, which generated multiple fees at the moment he decided to sell the balance in Bitcoin.

High fee to withdraw Bitcoin

The high fee charged for the withdrawal of about 0.22 BTC happened due to the number of addresses that the user created automatically. For each amount received in cryptomoedas by him, a new address was created in the Bitcoin network.

Bitcoin rates fall as mempool is reset to zero

In this way, it is as if a new portfolio was created for cryptomites in each sale that the e-commerce made, with payment in BTC. In total, the 0.22 BTC withdrawal corresponds to 150 sales, that is, 150 addresses were generated, as explained by the cryptomote seller, Michel P2P.

„Each Bitcoin address you receive within the same portfolio is called an input. Each address has a cost for exit, which is charged by the miner“.

Cryptomoedas as payment method

The trader from the interior of Goiás who receives cryptomoedas as a form of payment decided to accumulate 0.22 Bitcoin before exchanging the entire balance for Brazilian Real.

Thus, by accumulating 150 payments in BTC, the user sold the fraction of cryptomoeda through a transaction via P2P. Without being able to manage the addresses that are created, he said that after each sale a new Bitcoin address is created by the API.

„I have an ecommerce that I receive Bitcoin as payment. There, they generate several different portfolios. The system is automated. After the customer makes the payment, the order transaction is approved, and for each customer a different address is generated“.

150 addresses were created with the payments in Bitcoin (Reproduction/Facebook)
API was responsible for billing

Right after paying a fee of almost $ 3,000 to withdraw the Bitcoin he received, the Brazilian merchant said he should look for alternatives to the API of Blockchain.com, which charges a fee for each payment in cryptomoedas.

2 Bitcoin indicators show that professional traders expect US$36 thousand

With the sale in Bitcoin by the trader via P2P, he received approximately $ 44 thousand for the balance in BTC, in addition to the fee of almost $ 3 thousand that was discounted by the network.

According to Michel P2P, the fee of the BTC network was normal at the time of negotiation with the owner of the Brazilian e-commerce. However, the problem was in the excessive number of addresses created, to receive payments in Bitcoin.

„He has 150 addresses. Each one of them pays its exit fee, and added together they give that amount. The fee was even low, of 60sat/b practically, but, for being so much input, it gets high“.

How the massive activity of Bitcoin buyers in Coinbase drove the price of BTC to over $32,000

The price of Bitcoin rose to over $32,000 when Coinbase buyers aggressively built up BTC.

Coinbase has seen a big spike in buyer activity during the early hours of the morning, as the price of Bitcoin (BTC) exceeded USD 32,500 on January 2. Analysts say the trend was reminiscent of MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin buildup, possibly fueled by institutional buy orders. As a result, BTC rose above USD 31,000, reaching a new all-time high.

Bitcoin price rises rapidly to USD 31,000, liquidating USD 100 million in short positions

Coinbase buyers were the catalyst for Bitcoin’s price increase
In the last 48 hours, Coinbase has consistently seen a high premium compared to Binance. At one point, Bitcoin’s price on the exchange was $100 more than Binance.

When Bitcoin’s price exceeded $30,000, the premium reached $350. For example, when Bitcoin was trading at $30,000 on Binance, BTC was priced at $30,350 on Coinbase.

Bitcoin’s price exceeds 30k and the NGO Bitcoin Argentina dedicates a poem to it
Before the rally, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju said Coinbase’s low exits posed a risk to Bitcoin’s rebound. He said the exits would have to increase for BTC to find new momentum, which it did. Ki said before the rally:

„We have had no significant exits from Coinbase since the $23k, the token transfers are decreasing and the cash flow rate of all exchanges is increasing. It is still possible that institutional investors will join soon, but we could see a correction if this continues“.
As Bitcoin approached $29,500, Coinbase’s outflows began to rise. Ki said that these are possible OTC deals, which are often optimistic for BTC and exemplify a broader trend of declining BTC reserves on exchanges.

As we pumped, another 34K btc casually pulled out of the exchange in the last few blocks.
Giving away crypt coins to loved ones this holiday season? Educate them first
High net worth buyers use the open market to buy or sell large quantities of Bitcoin. Therefore, when the signs of OTC deals emerged, Ki said this was positive for BTC. Just two days after the outflows increased, BTC surpassed USD 30,000, reaching USD 31,400 shortly thereafter. Ki pointed out before BTC broke $30,000:

„12,063 $BTC has just come out of #Coinbase. They went to multiple cold wallets. Possibly OTC deals. Breaking the 30k is going to be difficult, but the institutions don’t care. They just buy it more.

Leaving #Coinbase. Source: CryptoQuant
Why is BTC becoming so attractive?
According to Ashwath Balakrishnan, an analyst at Delphi Digital, Bitcoin became more attractive when it surpassed its historical high.

Anthony Pompliano discusses his view of Bitcoin for 2021
When the price of Bitcoin was around USD 4,000, the risk of a significant fall was high, combined with great uncertainty about BTC’s medium-term outlook.

Therefore, when Bitcoin managed to exceed USD 20,000, the dominant cryptomone became more attractive to investors. He said:

„Buying $BTC after its historical high is really superior to targeting the fund from a risk-adjusted lens. If you bought at $20k you are up 50% with minimal friction between the fund’s buyers ~ $4k are up almost 8 times but their risk of exploding was much higher“.
In the short term, a popular narrative that could drive up the price of Bitcoin is the prediction that institutions might not have bought BTC in December due to potential accounting problems.

3 key ways in which Bitcoin’s 2021 bull run may differ from that of 2017
As such, some analysts say that more institutions could jump to Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2021. If this happens, which would be evident through the assets under management of Grayscale and the open interest of the WEC’s Bitcoin futures market, it would probably cause a wider BTC rally.

Russian Gazprombank opens Bitcoin trade in Switzerland

The Swiss subsidiary of the major Russian bank has also joined OpenVASP.

Gazprombank Switzerland is a subsidiary of the major Russian bank of the same name and is now offering Bitcoin (BTC) transactions as part of a pilot project after receiving approval from the Swiss regulatory authorities.

According to an announcement on 19 November, Gazprombank will offer its new crypto-currency solution in cooperation with Bitcoin Rush its long-standing partners. These include the Fintech company Avaloq and the crypto-custodian Metaco.

Roman Abdulin, the CEO of Gazprombank Switzerland, said that the new offering is designed to make crypto transactions „as easy as transactions with traditional assets“:

„Digital assets will become increasingly important for our customers and the global economy. We look forward to working with leading Swiss companies to further develop the Swiss and global crypto and blockchain ecosystem“.

In addition to the first BTC transactions, Gazprombank Switzerland also announced that the bank had joined the OpenVASP association. This is a major industry association focused on compliance for virtual asset management companies (VASPs).

Gazprombank Switzerland is the first banking institution

OpenVASP was founded at the end of 2019 and is designed to help VASPs comply with the recommended rules of the Financial Action Task Force. These rules are known as the „Travel Rule“ and are designed to combat money laundering. According to the announcement, Gazprombank Switzerland is the first banking institution in this association. Large industry companies such as the Swiss crypto-broker Bitcoin Suisse and the local crypto-bank Sygnum are also members of OpenVASP.

At the end of October 2020, Gazprombank Switzerland received a licence from the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority and can now offer crypto-custody and trading services to its institutional and corporate clients. Gazprombank Switzerland, which is a wholly owned subsidiary of Gazprombank, has been working towards crypto services in Switzerland since at least 2018.

Other Russian banks also intend to offer crypto and block chain services abroad. In September 2020, Sberbank, Russia’s largest state-owned bank, joined a block chain platform for commodity trade financing through its Swiss subsidiary.

Crypto services abroad are currently very attractive for Russian banks. The Russian legislator in the country itself is increasingly restricting the crypto industry. In addition to an official crypto payment ban in 2021, the Russian authorities also want to introduce prison sentences if annual crypto transactions amounting to about 600,000 US dollars are not declared.

COVID-19 ha stimolato un maggior numero di organizzazioni

COVID-19 ha stimolato un maggior numero di organizzazioni no-profit ad accettare il crypto

Le entità no-profit potrebbero sfruttare un mercato non sfruttato di sostenitori semplicemente permettendo donazioni criptate.

Negli ultimi tre anni, un numero crescente di organizzazioni no-profit ha iniziato ad accettare donazioni basate su criptodoni. Secondo Alex Wilson, co-fondatore della crypto donation gateway Bitcoin Bank The Giving Block, la pandemia COVID-19 ha spinto questa tendenza più in là che mai.

Le misure di prevenzione della pandemia hanno cominciato ad accelerare nel marzo del 2020, causando la chiusura delle attività e le turbolenze economiche per molti. Sia le imprese che le organizzazioni non profit hanno dovuto affrontare notevoli perdite di fatturato una volta che il virus ha preso piede.

„È interessante notare che negli ultimi sei mesi circa, COVID è stato in realtà un catalizzatore piuttosto importante per le organizzazioni no-profit che accettano il crypto, perché molti di loro stanno cercando modi diversi per compensare le perdite di fatturato, ma anche per diversificare le loro entrate in cose nuove come il crypto“, ha detto Wilson al Cointelegraph in un’intervista.

Anche se supportato da COVID-19, un certo numero di nonprofit ha iniziato ad accettare attività a catena nel mercato euforico dei tori di crypto nel 2017. „Molte persone erano essenzialmente alla ricerca di modi per compensare le loro imposte sulle plusvalenze, soprattutto negli Stati Uniti“, ha detto Wilson, continuando:

„Uno di questi modi era in realtà quello di donare crypto in beneficenza, tranne che ho notato che la gente voleva donare alle organizzazioni no-profit, ma la maggior parte di loro [le organizzazioni no-profit] non avevano idea di come accettare crypto“.

Per risolvere questo problema, Wilson e il suo amico Pat Duffy hanno unito le loro capacità e le loro risorse per costruire un comodo sistema di criptodonazione-cancellazione. „Quel tipo di agevolazione fiscale era davvero una tendenza di guida dietro di essa, o una motivazione di guida dietro di essa“, ha detto Wilson.

„Abbiamo lanciato l’azienda solo l’anno scorso [2019], quando l’abbiamo lanciata pubblicamente, e ora lavoriamo con circa 100 diverse organizzazioni no-profit“, ha spiegato Wilson.

Le donazioni Crypto agiscono come una porta verso un mercato separato e non sfruttato di potenziali sostenitori, ha detto Wilson

Ha spiegato che „la maggior parte delle organizzazioni no-profit tendono ad avere donatori più anziani e stanno cercando modi per entrare in contatto con i donatori più giovani, iniziare a costruire relazioni più lunghe con i donatori più giovani, e Crypto è stato uno di questi modi“.

Wilson ha anche detto che l’azienda non si limita a fornire un nuovo metodo di pagamento per i suoi sostenitori:

„Una cosa bella delle donazioni cripto è che si tratta per lo più di donatori completamente nuovi per loro, quindi non è cannibalizzare altre loro altre forme di donazioni esistenti. È un flusso di entrate completamente nuovo per loro“.

Nello spazio criptato esistono diverse soluzioni di pagamento, alcune delle quali convertono i beni digitali nella valuta nazionale predeterminata del destinatario al momento del pagamento. Quando un’azienda si integra con The Giving Block, può scegliere se vuole mantenere la sua donazione criptata o convertirla in una più tradizionale valuta fiat. Secondo Wilson, „il 90% dei nostri clienti opta per la conversione automatica perché sono ancora un po‘ preoccupati dalla volatilità“.

Decentralized Horror: Roundup of DeFi’s Nightmares of the Year

DeFi has been the driving force behind all things crypto in 2020.

BeInCrypto dug into DeFi nightmares, flash loan scares, smart contract code chills happened this year.

Some have made some sort of profit, but a few have been completely „destroyed“, and that’s where the bad things come in.

Crypto Engine has undoubtedly been the driving force behind all things crypto this year, but it hasn’t been without its share of horror stories.

Since the season lends itself to it, we’ll dig into DeFi nightmares, flash loan scares, smart contract code thrills, hideous hacks, spooky scams, and terrifying “rugpulls” this year.

Let’s start with the DeFi voucher …

Before we dive into the dark depths of DeFi depravity, let’s start on a positive note. If 2017 and 2018 were the year of ICOs, 2019 was the year of stablecoins, 2020 was definitely the year of decentralized finance.

Billions of dollars in crypto collateral have poured into a rapidly expanding array of decentralized exchanges, automated market makers and liquidity pools, as traders and investors seek better returns on their digital assets.

Since the start of 2020, that figure, known as the Locked-In Total Value (TVL), has jumped nearly 2,000% to $ 12 billion in October . This surge in crypto collateral has made other milestones possible, such as the highest amount of Wrapped Wrapped (or Tokenized) Bitcoin (BTC) at over 147,000 BTC, and nearly 8% of the entire offer of Ether (ETH), or 9 million ETH, locked in DeFi protocols.

DeFi tokens were the best performers of the year, although many corrected heavily over the past month. A few people with big bags already made bigger fortunes, a lot of people made some sort of profit, but a few were completely „destroyed“, and that’s where the bad things come in.

And the bad starts with bZx

The first quarter of 2020 has been a bit quiet for DeFi, but TVL crossed the billion dollar mark for the first time in early February, which was also the same month as the industry’s first high-profile exploits.

The bZx margin lending and trading protocol was the first serious casualty of 2020 with two flash lending exploits that resulted in the loss of nearly $ 1 million in user funds. The malicious actor successfully exploited a low-liquidity Uniswap marketplace to complete a single trade, known as a flash loan, to make a profit of around $ 350,000. A second attack in the week resulted in the loss of an additional $ 600,000 in ETH from bZx, which suspended operations following the exploit.

The exploits created a wave of criticism from DeFi detractors and Bitcoin maximalists at the time, who said that the fact that bZx was able to freeze the platform in both attacks showed that it was ultimately acted as a centralized platform.

Creator of “Black Thursday”

DeFi markets were bubbling well until mid-March, when the global financial and crypto markets collapsed in the wake of the escalating Covid-19 pandemic. Ethereum, which serves as the backbone of the DeFi industry, fell 55% in less than a week, leading to a day dubbed „Black Thursday“ for MakerDAO, the world’s leading DeFi protocol, at the time. .

The Black Swan event resulted in the massive liquidation of the vast majority of Maker Chests, resulting in an under-guarantee of around $ 4 million in Dai. No code was exploited, but many safe deposit box owners lost all warranties, leading to both a class action lawsuit against the Maker Foundation and a management poll to compensate victims. The stability fee has been adjusted and the Dai savings rate has been set at zero, it still has not moved from that level.

La scadenza delle opzioni Bitcoin pre-Halloween da 750 milioni di dollari ha iniziato a spaventare i trader

Anche se i trader di cryptocurrency sono stati esuberanti per l’aumento dei prezzi, un certo numero di analisti si sono concentrati sulle grandi opzioni bitcoin ed etereo che scadono prima di Halloween.

I dati di Skew.com mostrano che 750 milioni di dollari in opzioni Bitcoin sono impostati per scadere e i prezzi potrebbero diventare volatili.

Il prezzo del bitcoin (BTC) ha toccato il massimo storico del 2020 a 13.490 dollari martedì in tutti gli scambi globali. Il prezzo è salito quando è trapelata la notizia della più grande banca del Sud-Est asiatico, la DBS, che ha lanciato una borsa valori digitale.

Nonostante l’importante aumento dei prezzi di questo mese, si prevede che i mercati del bitcoin e dell’etereo saranno volatili alla fine della settimana, dato che un gran numero di opzioni scadrà il 30 ottobre. La società di dati e analisi professionale Skew.com ha discusso la situazione su Twitter il 25 ottobre.

La scadenza di 750 milioni di dollari di opzioni Bitcoin pre-Halloween ha iniziato a spaventare i trader

„60k [in] opzioni bitcoin scadono questa settimana, $750mln+ nozionale“, ha twittato Skew. La scadenza principale non solo è coincisa con l’aumento dei prezzi, ma anche con il 12° anniversario del libro bianco Bitcoin, che sarà celebrato il giorno successivo. Oltre alle statistiche di Skew, la borsa che detiene il maggior numero di contratti di opzioni bitcoin ed etereo, Deribit, ha pubblicato un articolo sull'“incertezza del trading“ legato alla scadenza il 30 ottobre.

Deribit ha pubblicato un grafico che mostra l’attuale struttura dei termini delle opzioni BTC Deribit. „A causa del valore temporale delle opzioni, la struttura dei termini tende ad essere inclinata verso l’alto“, osserva il rapporto Deribit.

„Tuttavia, le gobbe mostrano un forte movimento di prezzo previsto in un determinato periodo di tempo. Analogamente ai mercati tradizionali, il mercato di BTC ha registrato una potenziale volatilità dei prezzi nella settimana delle elezioni del 30 ottobre fino al 6 novembre. Si prevede che l’aumento della volatilità continuerà almeno fino alla fine del quarto trimestre“, ha aggiunto lo scambio di derivati cripto.

La scadenza di 750 milioni di dollari di opzioni Bitcoin prima di Halloween ha iniziato a spaventare i trader

Secondo il canale di derivati crittografici di Deribit su Telegram, un recente segnale del 26 ottobre 2020 ha spiegato che attualmente ci sono 61k opzioni BTC in scadenza il 30 ottobre, di cui 40k sono detenute a Deribit. Inoltre, 190k opzioni ETH (76 milioni di dollari) scadranno lo stesso giorno, di cui 164k a Deribit.

Il canale di segnale dei derivati criptati di Deribit pone ulteriormente la questione:

Questo mese abbiamo assistito ad un significativo ribaltamento dei valori massimi annuali dei test Bitcoin e dell’asimmetria di [un] mese. La scadenza del 30 ottobre ’20 arriva solo pochi giorni prima delle elezioni americane. Con oltre il 7% dell’interesse aperto alla scadenza fissato sullo sciopero dei 13.000, qualsiasi notizia o movimento inatteso delle elezioni negli Stati Uniti potrebbe far sì che Bitcoin superi lo sciopero e inneschi una corsa alla volatilità?

Martedì, Skew ha twittato sulla scadenza di ottobre di Deribit e ha detto che i dealer sono probabilmente lunghi. „Su Deribit per la scadenza di ottobre, 12k, 12.5k, 13k e 14k le chiamate sono tutte aperte per le opzioni bitcoin 2k+“, hanno twittato i ricercatori. Lo sciopero più grande è il 9k put con più di 5k opzioni aperte. A giudicare da dove è segnato il vol di ottobre, sotto il 40, è probabile che i dealer siano lunghi contro i sovrascrittori“.

Naturalmente, gli speculatori hanno dato molto peso ai mercati dei crypto futures e delle opzioni e molte volte questi mercati secondari non fanno nulla. Per esempio, i trader e gli analisti spesso parlano di lacune CME che non si colmano mai e di grandi scadenze di opzioni che sono estremamente noiose. Per esempio, i trader cripto si aspettavano molta volatilità dopo aver speculato su più di 87k di opzioni bitcoin del valore di 87k che sono scadute il 25 settembre.

Analogamente all’imminente scadenza delle opzioni bitcoin e delle opzioni ethereum prima di Halloween, i dati di Deribit hanno mostrato che lo scambio aveva un valore di 67k (77%) dei contratti del valore di 87k del 25 settembre. Quel giorno le statistiche storiche dei prezzi BTC mostrano che il 25 settembre il bitcoin ha aperto a 10.248 dollari e ha chiuso a un massimo di 10.771 dollari nel pomeriggio. I mercati delle opzioni non hanno avuto alcun effetto sui prezzi del mercato a pronti per il futuro. I mercati Bitcoin non hanno finito per essere turbolenti dopo la grande scadenza e da allora hanno finito per aumentare del 24,4%.

L’Euro Pacific de Peter Schiff fait l’objet d’une enquête de la Global Task Force

  • La banque Euro Pacific de Peter Schiff est sous enquête par le groupe de travail international J5 pour évasion fiscale présumée.
  • Le groupe de travail conjoint est composé des autorités fiscales des principaux gouvernements occidentaux et a été formé à la suite de la fuite des documents de Panama.

Peter Schiff, critique du bug de l’or et de la cryptographie, fait l’objet d’une enquête menée par un groupe de travail conjoint des autorités fiscales de plusieurs grands gouvernements occidentaux.

Selon un rapport du New York Times et du journal australien The Age, le groupe de travail international J5 a placé des centaines de comptes appartenant à la Banque Euro Pacific de Schiff, basée à Porto Rico, sous enquête pour évasion fiscale et divers crimes financiers.

Le groupe de travail, composé des autorités fiscales des principaux gouvernements occidentaux, a été formé à la suite de la fuite des documents de Panama en 2016, qui a révélé des comptes financiers appartenant à plus de 200 000 entités offshore.

Le rapport a mis en évidence une relation potentiellement troublante entre l’Euro Pacific de Schiff et la Perth Mint, propriété du gouvernement australien.

L’ancien enquêteur de la police fédérale australienne (AFP), John Chevis, a découvert le lien en 2017.

Il l’a dit à The Age,

J’ai été très surpris. Je pense qu’il y a un risque important qu’une partie de l’or détenu à l’Hôtel des Monnaies de Perth par des clients de la Banque Euro Pacifique soit détenue à des fins bénéfiques pour des criminels dans d’autres parties du monde.

Lors d’une interview accordée au journal australien le mois dernier, M. Schiff a nié tout acte répréhensible au nom d’Euro Pacific et a déclaré que la banque refusait „bien plus de comptes que nous n’en approuvons“ en raison d’un contrôle de conformité rigoureux.

Daten zeigen, dass Profi-Händler zu Shorts hinzukamen, als der Bitcoin-Preis $12K brach

Bitcoin-Derivate bevorzugen Bullen, aber die Daten zeigen, dass die Top-Händler ihre Short-Positionen aufgestockt haben, als BTC sich über $12.000 erholte.

Während Bitcoin (BTC) den 12.000-Dollar-Widerstand durchbricht, flirten die Derivatemärkte mit einer übertriebenen Aufwärtsstimmung. Die Futures-Basis und die Optionen mit einem Delta-Skew von 25% erreichten beide die gleichen Niveaus wie jetzt am 12. Oktober, als BTC kurzzeitig 11.700 $ testete, es aber nicht schaffte, die Dynamik aufrechtzuerhalten.

Was die aktuelle Situation von der vor neun Tagen unterscheidet, sind die Positionen der Top-Krypto-Händler. Am 12. Oktober erhöhten diese Händler ihre Longs, aber während der jüngsten Bewegung auf 12.000 $ eröffnen diese professionellen Händler Short-Positionen.

Trotz dieses Stimmungsumschwungs sollten Händler nicht automatisch zu dem Schluss kommen, dass sich der heutige Pump ausschließlich auf der Grundlage des Long-zu-Short-Indikators in einen Flop verwandeln wird. Für den Anfang gibt es keine Möglichkeit, sicher zu wissen, wie die Top-Händler außerbörslich positioniert sind.

Aus diesem Grund ist die Preisfestsetzung bei Derivaten eine bessere Methode, um einzuschätzen, wie bullish oder bearish professionelle Trader sein könnten. Dieser Indikator konzentriert sich auf die tatsächlichen Marktbedingungen, während sowohl die Furcht und Gier als auch das Verhältnis von Put- zu Call-Optionen rückwärts gerichtet sind.

Futures-Märkte tendieren dazu, mit einem leichten Aufschlag gegenüber den regulären Spot-Börsen zu handeln. Dieses Ereignis ist nicht ausschließlich auf Krypto-Märkte beschränkt, sondern eher ein Derivat-Effekt.

Die Prämie (oder Basis) für Terminkontrakte sollte bei gesunden Märkten zwischen 5% und 10% auf Jahresbasis liegen. Zahlen oberhalb dieser Spanne zeugen von übertriebenem Optimismus, da die Händler auf viel höhere Preise wetten. In der umgekehrten Situation deutet eine negative Prämie für Futures-Kontrakte auf eine pessimistische Stimmung hin.

Das obige Diagramm zeigt, wie der Basisindikator mit zu optimistischen Niveaus geflirtet hat, ähnlich wie am 12. Oktober.

Händler sollten Optimismus nicht mit Hebelwirkung verwechseln, da zur Bestätigung dieser These auch ein positiver Refinanzierungssatz für unbefristete Kontrakte erforderlich ist.

Der Finanzierungssatz für ewige Terminkontrakte wird an den meisten Börsen alle 8 Stunden abgerechnet, und eine Gebühr wird von Longs (Käufern) an Shorts gezahlt, wenn der Finanzierungssatz positiv ist. Diese Situation wäre das bestimmende Merkmal von Käufern mit übermäßigem Fremdkapitaleinsatz, aber das ist bisher nicht der Fall gewesen.

Die obigen Daten zeigen, wie volatil die Finanzierungsrate gewesen ist, obwohl es keine anhaltenden Finanzierungsperioden gegeben hat. Das Standardmaß für diesen Indikator beträgt 8 Stunden. Daher entspricht eine Rate von 0,05 % 1 % pro Woche. Das Umgekehrte gilt für eine negative Finanzierungsrate, wenn die Kurzfilme diejenigen sind, die sie bezahlen.

Was den Markt für BTC-Optionen anbelangt, so gab es eine ähnliche Bewegung, als der Indikator für die Schieflage des Deltas von 25% in das übertrieben zuversichtliche zinsbullische Gebiet eintrat. Ein negativer Skew zeigt an, dass Kauf-(Call)-Optionen mehr kosten als vergleichbare Verkaufs-(Put)-Optionen, was auf eine Haussestimmung hindeutet. Andererseits deutet ein positiver Skew auf eine Baisse hin.

Beachten Sie, wie nahe der Schrägheitsindikator an seinem niedrigsten Stand seit 6 Monaten liegt, was auf den Optimismus der Händler hindeutet. Diese Situation ist die gleiche wie am 12. Oktober, als die BTC innerhalb von 4 Tagen 10% zulegte. Obwohl nichts dagegen spricht, dass der Schiefe-Indikator über längere Zeiträume auf dem aktuellen Niveau verharrt, ist dies in der Geschichte der BTC unwahrscheinlich.

Nachdem man die Indikatoren für den Derivatemarkt gelesen hat, könnte man zu dem Schluss kommen, dass professionelle Händler durch das Hinzufügen von Long-Positionen über $12.000 aufwärts tendieren. Die von der Börse zur Verfügung gestellten Daten über das Verhältnis von Long- zu Short-Netto der Top-Händler zeigen jedoch, dass dies nicht der Fall war.

Es gibt oft Diskrepanzen zwischen den Methoden der Börsen, so dass die Leser Veränderungen anstelle von absoluten Zahlen beobachten sollten. Nach den obigen Daten kann man mit Sicherheit sagen, dass die Top-Kunden entweder neutral waren oder vor dem 12. Oktober Long-Positionen aufbauten.

Andererseits gab es in den letzten zwei Tagen an beiden Börsen eine beträchtliche Bewegung, da die Top-Händler auf der Verkaufsseite aktiver waren, als sich die BTC der 12.000 $-Marke näherte.

Daher signalisieren diese Händler ungeachtet des Aufwärtstrends der Derivat-Indikatoren einen Mangel an kurzfristigem Optimismus.

Diese scheinbar gegensätzlichen Signale könnten den jüngsten Anstieg um 15% in zwei Wochen widerspiegeln und einige Händler dazu veranlassen, Gewinne zu realisieren. Obwohl die Derivatemärkte weiterhin einen zinsbullischen Trend begünstigen, sehen die Top-Händler offenbar keinen Grund, bei den derzeitigen Niveaus Long-Positionen aufzubauen.

Obwohl der Aufruf der Top-Händler vorerst fehlgeschlagen zu sein scheint, scheinen sie bei den gegenwärtigen Niveaus keine Eile zum FOMO zu haben. Solange diese nicht beginnen, einige substanzielle Long-Positionen über $12K aufzubauen, kann dieses Unterstützungsniveau nicht als stark genug angesehen werden.